Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 874.25 | $0.200 | $174.85 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 12.25 |
| $0.408 |
| $5 |
| Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 192.64 | $0.870 | $167.6 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 192.64 | $0.800 | $154.11 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 68.7 | $0.790 | $54.27 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 68.7 | $0.804 | $55.23 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | sell | 29.18 | $0.041 | $1.2 | May 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 32.74 | $0.090 | $2.95 | May 23, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | sell | 54.95 | $0.160 | $8.79 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?Yes | sell | 411.08 | $0.039 | $15.94 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | sell | 120.07 | $0.935 | $112.31 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 73.08 | $0.190 | $13.89 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 55.81 | $0.908 | $50.68 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 73.08 | $0.160 | $11.69 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?Yes | buy | 47.96 | $0.104 | $5 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?Yes | buy | 103.12 | $0.048 | $5 | May 20, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | sell | 29.17 | $0.065 | $1.9 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | sell | 58.34 | $0.065 | $3.79 | May 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 32.73 | $0.150 | $4.91 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 146.15 | $0.160 | $23.38 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 14.46 | $0.830 | $12 | May 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.120 | $1.36 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 21.16 | $0.799 | $16.91 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | sell | 116.68 | $0.145 | $16.92 | May 14, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.760 | $3.56 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 86.99 | $0.230 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 21.65 | $0.231 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 21.46 | $0.233 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 21.46 | $0.233 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 21.46 | $0.233 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.019 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 30.12 | $0.166 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 28.64 | $0.873 | $25 | May 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 30.25 | $0.165 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | sell | 128.24 | $0.900 | $115.42 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 28.17 | $0.999 | $28.14 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 128.24 | $0.772 | $99.03 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.230 | $2.46 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.110 | $1.06 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?No | sell | 38.9 | $0.060 | $2.33 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 New Air Force One in 2025?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.890 | $4.89 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | sell | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | Apr 16, 2025 |