Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 12 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2025 to 22 Apr 2025, the highest close was 56% on 13 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 13% on 16 Apr 2025. $40.03K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 23, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 12 Apr 2025 – 22 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | 54.5% |
| 22 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UKcharlie | Yes | 40.44 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.02 |
| 0xheavy888 | No | 0.01 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 18, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/10-year-treasury-yield-4pt5-next-friday
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
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