Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.37 | $0.613 | $51.73 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 55.68 |
| $0.930 |
| $51.78 |
| May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.68 | $0.630 | $35.08 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 224.62 | $0.163 | $36.61 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 79.2 | $0.194 | $15.36 | May 3, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?No | sell | 23.43 | $0.680 | $15.93 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 224.62 | $0.134 | $30.15 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?No | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.260 | $60 | May 3, 2026 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Yes | buy | 40.44 | $0.570 | $23.05 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Kanye West release an album before July?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.520 | $22.13 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | sell | 462.14 | $0.002 | $0.92 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 218.93 | $0.140 | $30.65 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.697 | $12.44 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 72.73 | $0.550 | $40 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 72.73 | $0.550 | $40 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will Kanye West release an album before July?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 92.31 | $0.650 | $60 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 126.35 | $0.245 | $31 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 New Pope before July?No | sell | 265.26 | $0.800 | $212.21 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 303 | $0.058 | $17.58 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | sell | 103.4 | $0.170 | $17.58 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 103.4 | $0.200 | $20.68 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 76.62 | $0.770 | $59 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.287 | $5.12 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| New Pope before July?No | buy | 265.26 | $0.544 | $144.18 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 144.18 | $0.500 | $72.09 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 19.21 | $0.360 | $6.92 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.250 | $27.5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Ye divorce before April?No | sell | 40 | $0.708 | $28.32 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 26.26 | $0.190 | $4.99 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?Yes | buy | 25.58 | $0.430 | $11 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.190 | $40 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on February 21?Yes | sell | 288.06 | $0.420 | $120.99 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Solana above $200 on February 21?Yes | buy | 288.07 | $0.386 | $111.16 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Ye divorce before April?No | buy | 130.04 | $0.769 | $100 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.660 | $5.5 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?No | sell | 7.85 | $0.983 | $7.72 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Solana above $190 on February 14?Yes | buy | 197.95 | $0.590 | $116.79 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?No | buy | 116.79 | $0.240 | $28.03 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 855.66 | $0.158 | $135.02 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?No | sell | 140.59 | $0.960 | $135.01 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | buy | 28.02 | $0.870 | $24.38 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.958 | $7.66 | Jan 31, 2025 |