Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 30 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 64% on 15 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 52% on 11 Jan 2025. $1.48M traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 184 points, 30 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2024 | 36.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rdunjgiofnuei | Yes | 10.82K |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 4.57K |
| KiAr | Yes | 3.52K |
This is a market on whether the yield of the United States 10-Year Treasury Bond reaches greater than 5.000% between December 28 and market close on June 30, 2025. If the yield of the US 10-Year T-Bond is greater than 5.000% at any time between between December 28, 2024 and market close on June 30 2025, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be investing.com's reporting found at https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High” in rows titled by dates within this market's timeframe.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-10y-treasury-yield-above-5-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 3.41K |
| shadynasty | Yes | 1.79K |
| jctrelles | Yes | 1.6K |
| zorra | Yes | 1.05K |
| TheInvisibleHand | Yes | 1K |
| Giaguardo | Yes | 500 |
| RunarG | Yes | 440.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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