Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.930 | $112.05 | 4d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 222.22 |
| $0.930 |
| $206.66 |
| 4d ago |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 161.36 | $0.620 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 2.65K | $0.025 | $67.25 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 2.76K | $0.050 | $137.84 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 909.1 | $0.110 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?Yes | buy | 128.92 | $0.776 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 291.43 | $0.343 | $100 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 307.91 | $0.325 | $100 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.62 | $0.884 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 2.76K | $0.036 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.018 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 2.65K | $0.038 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 2.45K | $0.041 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.68 | $0.080 | $3.57 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?No | buy | 4.07K | $0.350 | $1.42K | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?Yes | sell | 1.79K | $0.016 | $28.8 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 516.85 | $0.193 | $100 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.374 | $1K | Apr 28, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 289.86 | $0.690 | $200 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?No | buy | 155.85 | $0.642 | $100 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 264.24 | $0.378 | $100 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 100.11K | $0.005 | $522 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | sell | 156.21 | $0.890 | $139.03 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 22.02K | $0.005 | $100 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes | buy | 112.23 | $0.891 | $100 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 35.41K | $0.003 | $100 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 43.14K | $0.002 | $100 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 476.43 | $0.420 | $200 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | buy | 307.7 | $0.325 | $100 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | buy | 388.21 | $0.258 | $100 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 156.22 | $0.640 | $100 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.17 on April 11?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.039 | $100 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | buy | 61.93 | $0.339 | $21 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.68 | $0.470 | $21 | Apr 10, 2025 |