Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.3%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 102 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 22 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 23 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 22.5% on 23 Mar 2025. $28.1K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 39.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 3.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wantonwallet | Yes | 386.71 |
| robberbar0n | Yes | 262.27 |
| malytrez | Yes | 167.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump endorses Conor McGregor for President of Ireland by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, his social media, and/or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to confirm the endorsement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-conor-mcgregor-for-president-of-ireland
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 142.86 |
| LibertyLass | Yes | 132.29 |
| JimBarnard | Yes | 87.5 |
| repulse | Yes | 50 |
| Baniel | Yes | 43.38 |
| Breakable-Jealousy | Yes | 31.25 |
| swaddler | Yes | 8.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
