Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 37.14 | $0.910 | $33.8 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 63.93 |
| $0.610 |
| $39 |
| Aug 7, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 242.84 | $0.068 | $16.55 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 242.84 | $0.074 | $18 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?No | buy | 65.31 | $0.490 | $32 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | buy | 92.86 | $0.420 | $39 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 203 | $0.493 | $100 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 175.81 | $0.569 | $100 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 172.63 | $0.972 | $167.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 67.37 | $0.760 | $51.2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | buy | 103.85 | $0.780 | $81 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 96.39 | $0.830 | $80 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | buy | 67.35 | $0.787 | $53 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?No | buy | 98.46 | $0.650 | $64 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 64.51 | $0.961 | $61.99 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?No | sell | 55.92 | $0.989 | $55.29 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?No | sell | 72.46 | $0.976 | $70.74 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | sell | 85.45 | $0.967 | $82.67 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump before July?No | sell | 69.73 | $0.984 | $68.61 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | buy | 49.63 | $0.800 | $39.7 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?No | buy | 131.69 | $0.759 | $100 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.760 | $80 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 102.94 | $0.680 | $70 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 313.09 | $0.941 | $294.62 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 191.35 | $0.209 | $40 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 96.35 | $0.520 | $50.1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy before July?Yes | buy | 767.05 | $0.013 | $10 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?No | buy | 55.93 | $0.894 | $50 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 491.7 | $0.203 | $100 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 379.94 | $0.263 | $100 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?No | sell | 75.43 | $0.866 | $65.33 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?No | sell | 150.86 | $0.871 | $131.45 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 188.68 | $0.215 | $40.66 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.98 | $0.870 | $40 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.047 | $50 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 188.67 | $0.410 | $77.27 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 202.84 | $0.493 | $100 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 399.41 | $0.125 | $50 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 313.09 | $0.639 | $200 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.108 | $40 | May 12, 2025 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.550 | $200 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 76.08 | $0.657 | $50 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes | buy | 103.08 | $0.194 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?No | buy | 430.95 | $0.023 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy before July?Yes | buy | 358.95 | $0.028 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |