Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15% on 21 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 316 daily closes on record from 21 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 46% on 10 May 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 46% on 10 May 2025. $255.75K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 316 points, 21 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
| gdawg247 | Yes | 1K |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 907.38 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Air Force One aircraft is put into official service by the US Air Force between February 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Air Force One" refers to any aircraft built to replace one or both of the VC-25s presently used as the primary presidential aircrafts. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-air-force-one-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 405 |
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| moneyman777 | Yes | 250 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 249 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 162 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 154 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 147.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
