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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.24K | $0.075 | $838.32 | -$306.32 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 125 | $0.540 | $67.5 | 2h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.84K |
| $0.244 |
| $690 |
| +$241.15 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 5K | $0.213 | $325 | -$739.83 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 5K | $0.075 | $275 | -$100 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.444 | $268.75 | -$285.65 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.202 | $237.5 | -$267.74 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.132 | $225 | -$104.96 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.123 | $201.74 | -$109.25 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 2.5K | $0.225 | $187.5 | -$375.78 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.100 | $187.5 | -$62.5 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.307 | $131.25 | -$252.69 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.099 | $118.75 | -$5.56 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.168 | $118.75 | -$91.85 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.312 | $118.75 | -$271.34 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | Yes | 125 | $0.570 | $74.38 | +$3.13 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 125 | $0.610 | $69.38 | -$6.83 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.102 | $68.13 | -$59.59 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 125 | $0.416 | $63.13 | +$11.1 |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 250 | $0.154 | $28.75 | -$9.73 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | Yes | 250 | $0.036 | $20.88 | +$11.93 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | Yes | 375 | $0.128 | $11.44 | -$36.59 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.250 | $5.31 | -$10.31 |
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.530 |
| $66.25 |
| 3h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.409 | $51.15 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 125 | $0.689 | $86.15 | 16h ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.090 | $100.44 | 23h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 64.2 | $0.460 | $29.53 | 1d ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.082 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.570 | $71.25 | 1d ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | 1d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 60.8 | $0.370 | $22.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 83.24 | $0.100 | $8.32 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 203.99 | $0.279 | $56.92 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.315 | $25.51 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 154.11 | $0.170 | $26.2 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 220.89 | $0.170 | $37.55 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.170 | $37.4 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.210 | $131.25 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.320 | $23.04 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.66 | $0.270 | $7.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 179.35 | $0.090 | $16.14 | 4d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.029 | $3.63 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.120 | $13.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 114.96 | $0.110 | $12.65 | 5d ago |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 99.46 | $0.320 | $31.83 | 5d ago |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 124.57 | $0.270 | $33.63 | 5d ago |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 124.57 | $0.290 | $36.13 | 5d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 120.7 | $0.160 | $19.31 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.110 | $15.4 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.107 | $13.32 | 6d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.063 | $7.91 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.100 | $25 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.100 | $62.5 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.1 | $0.230 | $9.22 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.35 | $0.100 | $4.14 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 315.3 | $0.110 | $34.78 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 427.61 | $0.260 | $111.18 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.260 | $41.6 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 893.35 | $0.142 | $126.76 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.608 | $76 | 7d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.629 | $78.6 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 8d ago |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | buy | 843.72 | $0.109 | $91.81 | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 69.07 | $0.990 | $68.38 | 9d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 249.98 | $0.005 | $1.25 | 9d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 500.01 | $0.002 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.204 | $50.9 | 10d ago |