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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4.69 | +$0.69 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 4.17 |
| $0.480 |
| $1.9 |
| -$0.1 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 133.93 | $0.015 | $0.74 | -$1.26 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $0.32 | -$1.68 |
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 183.33 | $0.011 | $0.09 | -$1.91 |
| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.016 |
| $1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" during WHCA Dinner events?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.550 | $0.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.203 | $1.27 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.680 | $7.23 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Christian" during TPUSA events on April 17?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.680 | $0.97 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during TPUSA events on April 17?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.700 | $0.98 | Apr 15, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.994 | $1.46 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will JD Vance say "Midterm" during the fundraiser?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Another US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.620 | $1.17 | Jan 29, 2026 |
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?Trump Announce Fed | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Nasty" this week? (January 25)Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will Tesla reach $495 in January?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?Trump Announce Fed | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.539 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.240 | $10.91 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Canada's monthly inflation increase by ≤0.0% in December?No | buy | 17.75 | $0.113 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |