Analytics
Resolved No on 25 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 46% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 12 May 2026 to 25 May 2026, the highest close was 69.5% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 14.5% on 18 May 2026. $1.43M traded over the market's life.
248 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 26, 6:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 May 2026 – 25 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 46.0% |
| 25 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Clueless-Sage | Yes | 495.29K |
| rogueIT | Yes | 49.54K |
| kai-xin | Yes | 22.58K |
| Kotsios94 | Yes | 21.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariffs reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-xi-summit-what-will-trump-announce-by-may-22
| Favorable-Exception | Yes | 16.63K |
| bugseeker | Yes | 16.46K |
| hoolsbcf | Yes | 14.31K |
| saelvc | Yes | 13K |
| jonathanolveraj | Yes | 12.5K |
| Bulky-Stench-Ranch | Yes | 7.47K |
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