Latest trade
Sep 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:03 PM UTC.
Analytics
Favorable-Exception is down $6.25K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:03 PM UTC.
$200 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Jun 19, 2026 UTC to Sep 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.430 | $431.25 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 18:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 18:03 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $27.91K and losing ones cost $11.9K across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.47K on “Iran closes its airspace by May 24?” (No); the largest loss, $2.73K on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Sep 2026. It has traded 822 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.11K |
| $0.406 |
| $451.85 |
| Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.263 | $292.7 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Nico Williams: 1+ assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists | buy | 1.13K | $0.034 | $38.87 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.190 | $205.47 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.18K | $0.009 | $209.32 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.483 | $694.41 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Over | buy | 798.02 | $0.125 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 1.11K | $0.180 | $200 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 877.19 | $0.570 | $500 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.610 | $989.32 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.87K | $0.053 | $1K | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 1.22K | $0.310 | $378.01 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.740 | $1.5K | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.400 | $758.61 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.22K | $0.049 | $59.76 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.9K | $0.193 | $559.94 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 2K | $0.100 | $200 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.240 | $200 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 1.43K | $0.140 | $200 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 952.38 | $0.210 | $200 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.193 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 2.27K | $0.220 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 1.16K | $0.430 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 3.33K | $0.150 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 925.93 | $0.540 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.650 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 408.95 | $0.430 | $175.85 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 943.4 | $0.530 | $500 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 757.58 | $0.660 | $500 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 193.89 | $0.620 | $120.21 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 952.38 | $0.210 | $200 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.680 | $200 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 625 | $0.320 | $200 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Over | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 885.36 | $0.700 | $619.75 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 512.82 | $0.390 | $200 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 517.24 | $0.580 | $300 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | sell | 370.37 | $0.260 | $96.3 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 724.32 | $0.590 | $427.35 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 503 | $0.099 | $50 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 454.55 | $0.220 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.