Latest trade
Jul 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:34 PM UTC.
Analytics
mblackbuster is down $1.78K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 40 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:34 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Dec 25, 2024 UTC to Jul 1, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 39.49 | $0.886 | $36.92 | +$1.92 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.094 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-01 06:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 22:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 22:34 UTC
polymarket positions
42 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-01 06:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $162 and losing ones cost $1.86K across 40 settled positions. 65% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $75.6 on “Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.57K on “Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 1 Jul 2026. It has traded 55 markets. Its open positions are worth $139.76 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 22.99 |
| $0.870 |
| $21.26 |
| +$1.26 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 105.83 | $0.189 | $20.32 | +$0.32 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 179.56 | $0.251 | $19.75 | -$25.25 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 16.5 | $0.909 | $16.13 | +$1.13 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 115.49 | $0.173 | $13.28 | -$6.72 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 76.79 | $0.260 | $12.09 | -$7.91 |
| buy |
| 3.33K |
| $0.003 |
| $10 |
| Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes | sell | 52.63 | $0.540 | $28.42 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 40.16 | $0.249 | $10 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 53.48 | $0.187 | $10 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.162 | $10 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.940 | $13.42 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.909 | $15 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.630 | $12.11 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.72 | $0.184 | $15 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.810 | $13.96 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 52.36 | $0.191 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.186 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 36.63 | $0.273 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes | sell | 428.01 | $0.200 | $85.6 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 97.84 | $0.307 | $30 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes | buy | 428.02 | $0.023 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.940 | $11.75 | Sep 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 12.1 | $0.827 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 UTC |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 UTC |
 50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 UTC |
 25% Japan tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 UTC |
 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 16.78 | $0.596 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?Yes | buy | 10.58 | $0.472 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Liberal Party win by 150 or more seats?Yes | buy | 50.82 | $0.098 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Liberal Party win by 125–149 seats?Yes | buy | 35.25 | $0.142 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.