Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10.13 | +$0.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10.05 |
| $0.995 |
| $9.97 |
| -$0.03 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.01 | $0.988 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.096 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.460 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.54 | $0.788 | $0.18 | -$1.82 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.988 |
| $1 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.732 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.969 | $6 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.676 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.799 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |