Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 8.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 7 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 15 Jun 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 7 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 67.5% on 8 Apr 2026. $21.21M traded over the market's life.
515 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 9:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 15 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| betoor619 | Yes | 1.09M |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 596.56K |
| ethanaz | Yes | 336.18K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 15, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-esp-cvi-2026-06-15
| Yes |
| 165.08K |
| Coram_Deo | Yes | 138.64K |
| Dramatic-Pea | Yes | 135.11K |
| RN1 | Yes | 128.94K |
| Harmful-Sundial | Yes | 100K |
| ningchaoxian3 | Yes | 93.08K |
| mulkiyeli1907 | Yes | 71K |
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