Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026, the highest close was 100% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 53% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 57% on 23 Jul 2026. $26.09K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 83.5% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.67K |
| Breakable-Bottomline | No | 398.48 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 328.17 |
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peoples-bank-of-china-rate-change-by-september-30-20260630000252021
| No |
| 170 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | No | 100 |
| jiudubishu | No | 100 |
| Ivory Falcon 7463 | No | 72.81 |
| jamski | No | 50 |
| Lavincey | No | 40 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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