Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.810 | $41.25 | +$0.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 3.51 | $0.080 | $0.28 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.839 |
| $30.15 |
| -$11.8 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 50 | $0.460 | $25.75 | +$2.75 |
 Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 50 | $0.630 | $20.75 | -$10.75 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 50 | $0.230 | $17.25 | +$5.75 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.330 | $14.75 | -$1.75 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | No | 20 | $0.780 | $14.5 | -$1.1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.250 | $11.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Melody Morris come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $6.15 | +$4.15 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.092 | $5.93 | +$1.33 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | No | 14.97 | $0.660 | $4.12 | -$5.76 |
 Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | No | 20 | $0.220 | $4.1 | -$0.3 |
 Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.310 | $2.73 | -$12.78 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | No | 50 | $0.340 | $2.3 | -$14.7 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $2.25 | -$2.25 |
| Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? | No | 50 | $0.131 | $1.45 | -$5.1 |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.140 | $1.4 | -$1.4 |
 Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | Yes | 8 | $0.240 | $1.32 | -$0.6 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $1.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 20 | $0.320 | $0.95 | -$5.45 |
 Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $0.58 | -$3.93 |
 Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | No | 20 | $0.640 | $0.48 | -$12.32 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.047 | $0.33 | -$2.03 |
 Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 20 | $0.090 | $0.24 | -$1.56 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.140 | $0.13 | -$2.67 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.829 |
| $41.45 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 50 | $0.802 | $40.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 50 | $0.859 | $42.95 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.380 | $1.98 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No | sell | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?No | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?No | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | sell | 48.82 | $0.330 | $16.11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?No | sell | 1 | $0.540 | $0.54 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | sell | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?No | sell | 50 | $0.621 | $31.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No | sell | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?No | sell | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.067 | $3.35 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | sell | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?No | sell | 11.95 | $0.530 | $6.33 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?No | sell | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?No | sell | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?No | sell | 50 | $0.183 | $9.14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.614 | $30.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.045 | $0.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No | sell | 20 | $0.051 | $1.02 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |