Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $6.06 | +$4.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20.2 |
| $0.099 |
| $4.9 |
| +$2.9 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 27.78 | $0.072 | $2.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 34.78 | $0.115 | $2.45 | -$1.55 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | $0 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.090 | $1.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | No | 16.67 | $0.120 | $1.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 8.33 | $0.240 | $1.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 84.33 | $0.024 | $1.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.51 | $0.235 | $1.36 | -$0.64 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | No | 33.33 | $0.060 | $1.33 | -$0.67 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 11.76 | $0.170 | $1.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.140 | $1.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 17.09 | $0.117 | $1.12 | -$0.88 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 17.08 | $0.117 | $0.85 | -$1.15 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | No | 40 | $0.050 | $0.68 | -$1.32 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 15.38 | $0.130 | $0.59 | -$1.41 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | No | 22.22 | $0.090 | $0.53 | -$1.47 |
 Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 94.18 | $0.021 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
| sell |
| 55.55 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.33 |
| 3d ago |
 Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?No | buy | 125.29 | $0.016 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.220 | $3.67 | 5d ago |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 84.33 | $0.024 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.099 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | 8d ago |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.072 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.200 | $4.44 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.927 | $12.36 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.010 | $0.33 | 13d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.014 | $0.55 | 13d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.020 | $0.33 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.014 | $0.23 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.009 | $0.13 | 13d ago |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.015 | $0.19 | 13d ago |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | 13d ago |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.294 | $6.53 | 16d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 139.3 | $0.069 | $9.66 | 18d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 139.3 | $0.014 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | sell | 40.81 | $0.121 | $4.93 | 20d ago |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 46.88 | $0.043 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.574 | $11.47 | 23d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 27d ago |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.600 | $5.45 | 27d ago |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.46 | $0.019 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |