Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 230 | $0.002 | $0.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.207 |
| $41.33 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?Up | sell | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.590 | $20.06 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.361 | $72.19 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 230 | $0.870 | $200.1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.730 | $10.95 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.134 | $7.61 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.360 | $50.4 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 79 | $0.700 | $55.3 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionNo | sell | 70 | $0.754 | $52.75 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.022 | $2.64 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 118.99 | $0.920 | $109.47 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.110 | $11.11 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 160 | $0.964 | $154.19 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.930 | $58.59 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?No | buy | 37.25 | $0.330 | $12.29 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?No | sell | 505 | $0.323 | $163.32 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.340 | $44.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?No | buy | 40.86 | $0.680 | $27.78 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | sell | 322 | $0.982 | $316.22 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.937 | $37.48 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.700 | $3.57 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $157.93 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by October 15?No | sell | 18.69 | $0.940 | $17.57 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by October 15?No | buy | 70 | $0.750 | $52.5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionNo | buy | 70 | $0.790 | $55.3 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | buy | 114.25 | $0.720 | $82.26 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.066 | $11.37 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.910 | $2.33 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.046 | $5.73 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.469 | $80.2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.190 | $20.9 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.700 | $3.99 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.39 | $0.019 | $0.6 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel not strike Yemen between September 8-15 ET?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?No | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.880 | $70.4 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 165 | $0.080 | $13.2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security deal before September?No | sell | 60 | $0.998 | $59.88 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?No | buy | 90 | $0.750 | $67.5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Aug 31, 2025 |