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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 2.43 | $0.822 | $1.86 | -$0.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.18 |
| $0.849 |
| $1.16 |
| +$0.16 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? | No | 1.24 | $0.809 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by September 30? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat? | Yes | 1.08 | $0.930 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
| buy |
| 5.88 |
| $0.170 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.761 | $0.86 | 7d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.640 | $0.72 | 7d ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.822 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.740 | $0.91 | 8d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.999 | $1.11 | 9d ago |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.809 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.994 | $1.25 | 9d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.997 | $1.21 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.989 | $1.49 | 9d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.989 | $1.76 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.822 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.996 | $1.07 | 10d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.886 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.879 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.015 | $0.04 | 10d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.975 | $1.05 | 29d ago |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.972 | $1.05 | 29d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.947 | $1.11 | 29d ago |
 Will Rodri join Real Madrid?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.966 | $1.15 | 29d ago |