Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 79.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 25 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.2% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 94% on 21 Sep 2026. $1.06M traded over the market's life.
517 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 2:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 25 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 79.5% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kindar | No | 55.27K |
| Jimmi67 | No | 24.45K |
| Empty-Julienne | No | 20.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution. If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-elections-united-russia-wins-every-region
| No |
| 15.07K |
| guapster | No | 13.48K |
| Oleg_SX | No | 11.58K |
| tregga | No | 10.62K |
| burdonich | No | 9.81K |
| masawik | No | 7.8K |
| Ivory Signal E8BF | No | 7.78K |
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