Latest trade
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 6:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
ingakarpova is down $45.56 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 6:19 PM UTC.
$25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Jan 30, 2025 UTC to Oct 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 109.03 | $0.963 | $99.71 | -$5.29 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.43 | $0.920 | $28 | 16d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-01 09:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 18:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 18:19 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-01 09:13 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $23.92 and losing ones cost $49.25 across the latest 50 settled positions. 94% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.33 on “Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?” (No); the largest loss, $23 on “Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Oct 2026. It has traded 66 markets. Its open positions are worth $211.6 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 30.41 |
| $0.955 |
| $29.63 |
| +$0.59 |
 Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.83 | $0.897 | $27.66 | -$0.89 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 30.43 | $0.920 | $27.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | No | 27.47 | $0.975 | $27.05 | +$0.27 |
| buy |
| 30.41 |
| $0.955 |
| $29.04 |
| 16d ago |
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.83 | $0.897 | $28.55 | 16d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.988 | $20.44 | 16d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?No | buy | 27.47 | $0.975 | $26.78 | 16d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.03 | $0.963 | $105 | 16d ago |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 29.33 | $0.989 | $29 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.990 | $22 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance AND KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5 | buy | 28.41 | $0.890 | $25.28 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $80 in July?No | buy | 31.12 | $0.949 | $29.53 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.987 | $26.53 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?No | buy | 102.75 | $0.993 | $102 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?No | buy | 26.41 | $0.990 | $26.15 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No | buy | 21.2 | $0.990 | $20.99 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.71 | $0.977 | $30 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 25.39 | $0.989 | $25.11 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 105.85 | $0.992 | $105 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 28.33 | $0.988 | $27.99 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.66 | $0.967 | $25.78 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No | buy | 21.81 | $0.989 | $21.57 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes | buy | 103.58 | $0.988 | $102.34 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.26 | $0.977 | $25.66 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?No | buy | 25.54 | $0.930 | $23.75 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 29.7 | $0.995 | $29.55 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?No | buy | 23.07 | $0.989 | $22.82 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.14 | $0.989 | $24.86 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 23-March 1?No | buy | 22.13 | $0.987 | $21.84 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 25.93 | $0.999 | $25.9 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 15-21?No | buy | 20.81 | $0.990 | $20.6 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 28.54 | $0.995 | $28.4 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes | buy | 22.83 | $0.920 | $21 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.900 | $21 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?No | buy | 21.26 | $0.983 | $20.9 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $128,000 and $130,000 on October 10?No | buy | 21.77 | $0.997 | $21.7 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No | buy | 27.61 | $0.985 | $27.2 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?No | buy | 23.51 | $0.974 | $22.9 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.990 | $22 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?No | buy | 21.22 | $0.966 | $20.5 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No | buy | 29.09 | $0.997 | $29 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 23.27 | $0.958 | $22.3 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.995 | $25 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 29.38 | $0.987 | $29 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 20.72 | $0.999 | $20.7 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.999 | $20.12 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.999 | $24.12 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?No | buy | 21.54 | $0.998 | $21.5 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?Yes | buy | 21.54 | $0.995 | $21.43 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 GTA VI released in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.73 | $0.510 | $15.16 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Haas record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.995 | $20.8 | Jan 30, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.