Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 7 Aug 2026, the highest close was 1.1% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Aug 2026. $63.6K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 7 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 168.4K |
| alohaa | Yes | 30K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 11.86K |
| Unsung-Listening | Yes | 5.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-31-august-7
| RickRockRick | Yes | 4K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 3.92K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 3.41K |
| wakuwaku3 | Yes | 3.1K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.38K |
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 2.03K |
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