Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Left be part of the next German government?No | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Feb 27, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 10.52 |
| $0.978 |
| $10.29 |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.004 | $0.12 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Feb 9, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jan 30, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.920 | $13.8 | Jan 22, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.900 | $5.48 | Jan 11, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?No | buy | 4.67 | $0.870 | $4.06 | Jan 11, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Jan 11, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Fauci?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.860 | $5.25 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Adam Kinzinger?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.950 | $9.99 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.950 | $5.53 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Will BSW be part of the next German government?No | buy | 5 | $0.936 | $4.68 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 5 | $0.955 | $4.77 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.885 | $8.85 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Will the Left be part of the next German government?No | buy | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Hillary?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Election certified on January 6?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 10 | $0.959 | $9.59 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.955 | $6.45 | Dec 28, 2024 |
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Netanyahu visit Egypt in 2024?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.960 | $10.06 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?Yes | buy | 7.2 | $0.810 | $5.83 | Dec 21, 2024 |
Will FDP be part of the next German government?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Dec 19, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Dec 18, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.716 | $1.43 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.967 | $5.16 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Mystery drones shot down by Sunday?No | buy | 12.98 | $0.991 | $12.86 | Dec 15, 2024 |
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Mystery drones shot down by Sunday?No | buy | 30 | $0.993 | $29.79 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.934 | $9.34 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 30 | $0.311 | $9.33 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Fauci?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.767 | $11.51 | Dec 11, 2024 |
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Dec 9, 2024 |