Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 93.5% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 150 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 4 Jan 2025 and the lowest 82.5% on 11 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 94.5% on 7 Nov 2024. $3.7M traded over the market's life.
160 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 6 Jan 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 93.5% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GummiMummi | No | 140.13K |
| Ultimate-Reader | No | 39.41K |
| duduhema | No | 23.87K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election are officially certified by Congress on January 6, 2025, PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Certification is defined as the official confirmation of the Electoral College results by a joint session of Congress. The primary resolution source will be the official information from the U.S. Congress however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-presidential-election-certified-on-january-6
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| No |
| 12.64K |
| Ptolemyii | No | 12.29K |
| PA123456 | No | 4.34K |
| Winner78 | No | 2.45K |
| KGeemarkets | No | 2.1K |
| Dekrypt | No | 1.15K |
| Seafire | No | 1.02K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
