Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.860 | $191 | +$19 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.91 | $0.034 | $2.85 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 440.77 |
| $0.796 |
| $350.85 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | sell | 36.69 | $0.350 | $12.84 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.17K | $0.742 | $2.35K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 9.04K | $0.470 | $4.25K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | sell | 11.88K | $0.501 | $5.95K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 14.02K | $0.550 | $7.71K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.49K | $0.930 | $2.31K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.63K | $0.930 | $6.17K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.72K | $0.939 | $5.37K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 6.91K | $0.920 | $6.36K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 14K | $0.910 | $12.74K | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.38K | $0.979 | $2.33K | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.430 | $473 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.25K | $0.784 | $8.04K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 8.88K | $0.983 | $8.73K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 100 | $0.978 | $97.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.981 | $1.51K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 44.84 | $0.984 | $44.12 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.986 | $2.37K | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.997 | $2.29K | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 2.38K | $0.975 | $2.32K | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?No | buy | 2.32K | $0.949 | $2.2K | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?No | buy | 4.27K | $0.834 | $3.57K | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 2.29K | $0.298 | $682.3 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 3.28K | $0.270 | $886.02 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 38K | $0.978 | $37.16K | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 63.6K | $0.080 | $5.09K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | sell | 6.32K | $0.202 | $1.28K | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 33.19K | $0.216 | $7.17K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 24.56K | $0.098 | $2.42K | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.870 | $13.05K | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 2.81K | $0.993 | $2.79K | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.988 | $2.72K | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?No | buy | 10.61K | $0.990 | $10.5K | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker before Election?No | buy | 7.57K | $0.997 | $7.55K | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 40.06K | $0.990 | $39.66K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?No | buy | 20K | $0.995 | $19.9K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to 48 or more months prison time?No | sell | 100 | $0.973 | $97.25 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to 48 or more months prison time?No | sell | 24.92K | $0.987 | $24.6K | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Yes | buy | 30.47K | $0.989 | $30.14K | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?No | sell | 25K | $0.983 | $24.57K | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?No | buy | 25K | $0.992 | $24.8K | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to 48 or more months prison time?No | buy | 34.81K | $0.995 | $34.64K | Oct 10, 2024 |
 Biden removed via 25th Amendment?Yes | buy | 766 | $0.033 | $25.06 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.022 | $72.88 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 21.44K | $0.162 | $3.48K | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 4.69K | $0.150 | $702.99 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 42K | $0.986 | $41.41K | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 12.87K | $0.147 | $1.9K | Sep 14, 2024 |