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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 61.47 | $0.660 | $40.57 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 31.24 |
| $0.050 |
| $1.56 |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 828.6 | $0.047 | $39 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before May?Yes | buy | 85.3 | $0.370 | $31.56 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?Yes | sell | 92.91 | $0.447 | $41.55 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?No | buy | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.200 | $18 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.078 | $4.06 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 489.77 | $0.070 | $34.28 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.079 | $4.11 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.040 | $3.68 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 49.27 | $0.181 | $8.92 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.370 | $47.36 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.320 | $0.05 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.320 | $46.72 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?Yes | buy | 146.15 | $0.260 | $38 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jan 7, 2025 |