Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 6% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 161 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 28.5% on 29 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 29 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 24.5% on 26 Jan 2025. $466.71K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.9% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Microsoft by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Microsoft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-acquire-tiktok
| Yes |
| 700 |
| Kyoche | Yes | 250.63 |
| LuckyLam | Yes | 207.37 |
| datNiqqa | Yes | 100 |
| B99-912 | Yes | 97.19 |
| Seanduoxi-2 | Yes | 94.03 |
| CryptKeeperEthco | Yes | 90.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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