Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 40.21 | $0.497 | $27.14 | +$7.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 92.59 |
| $0.540 |
| $26.39 |
| -$23.61 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $16.28 | +$6.28 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.080 | $2.53 | -$2.47 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.240 | $2.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $0.93 | -$9.07 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $0.41 | -$4.59 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $0.17 | -$4.83 |
| buy |
| 33.78 |
| $0.148 |
| $5 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 722.43 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 16.83 | $0.297 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $38,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?Yes | buy | 35.33 | $0.142 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| OpenAI acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes | buy | 27.17 | $0.184 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 21.19 | $0.236 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 36.45 | $0.137 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 43.63 | $0.115 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 40.21 | $0.497 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.840 | $55.99 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-11-06?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.031 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.881 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be named Benedict?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be named John Paul?Yes | buy | 28.89 | $0.173 | $5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be named Francis?Yes | buy | 27.11 | $0.184 | $5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 US lifts Russia sanctions before April?Yes | sell | 49.09 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.099 | $10 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 91.55 | $0.109 | $10 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April?Yes | buy | 49.09 | $0.102 | $5 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 103.25 | $0.973 | $100.41 | Mar 9, 2025 |