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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 34.11 | $0.292 | $20.19 | +$10.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes | buy | 19.55 | $0.510 | $9.97 | 23d ago |
 |
| No |
| 47.39 |
| $0.210 |
| $20 |
| +$10.05 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.23 | $0.506 | $15.48 | +$5.75 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 17.23 | $0.570 | $14.73 | +$4.91 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 22.22 | $0.440 | $14.33 | +$4.56 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 17.23 | $0.570 | $13.87 | +$4.05 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 23.8 | $0.410 | $12.73 | +$2.98 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $10.5 | +$0.7 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 52.63 | $0.178 | $10.26 | +$0.87 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.730 | $10.06 | +$0.2 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 52.35 | $0.190 | $9.84 | -$0.1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 17.73 | $0.563 | $8.82 | -$1.16 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 40.15 | $0.247 | $7.97 | -$1.96 |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.620 | $6.74 | -$3.09 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 14.7 | $0.670 | $5.51 | -$4.34 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.400 | $5.24 | -$4.51 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 68.48 | $0.145 | $4.9 | -$5.03 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 32.25 | $0.288 | $3.71 | -$5.58 |
| Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | Yes | 19.55 | $0.510 | $3.32 | -$6.65 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $2.75 | -$6.25 |
| buy |
| 40.15 |
| $0.247 |
| $9.93 |
| 23d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.25 | $0.288 | $9.29 | 23d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.260 | $9.28 | 23d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 56.49 | $0.167 | $9.43 | 23d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.670 | $10.98 | 23d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 56.49 | $0.176 | $9.94 | 24d ago |
 Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | buy | 48.3 | $0.148 | $7.16 | 24d ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.506 | $9.73 | 24d ago |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.620 | $9.84 | 24d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 23.25 | $0.420 | $9.76 | 24d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 23.8 | $0.410 | $9.76 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.440 | $9.78 | 24d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 14.7 | $0.670 | $9.85 | 24d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Yes | buy | 16.12 | $0.610 | $9.83 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.270 | $9.64 | 25d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.570 | $9.82 | 25d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.730 | $9.86 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.570 | $9.82 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 47.39 | $0.210 | $9.95 | 26d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Yes | buy | 19.3 | $0.517 | $9.98 | 26d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.400 | $9.76 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 34.11 | $0.292 | $9.96 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 14.9 | $0.670 | $9.98 | 26d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 90.9 | $0.100 | $9.09 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.600 | $9.83 | 27d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 27d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.178 | $9.39 | 27d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 17.73 | $0.563 | $9.98 | 27d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 52.35 | $0.190 | $9.95 | 27d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 68.48 | $0.145 | $9.93 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.012 | $0.32 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 34.47 | $0.012 | $0.43 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.100 | $1.43 | 28d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.070 | $4.12 | 28d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 19.92 | $0.272 | $5.42 | 28d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | 28d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.420 | $8.23 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 14.08 | $0.674 | $9.49 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.210 | $2.84 | 28d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.100 | $9.09 | 28d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.180 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.380 | $7.31 | 28d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.147 | $7.72 | 28d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 28.57 | $0.320 | $9.14 | 28d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.152 | $10.13 | 28d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.430 | $10.49 | 28d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.180 | $8.57 | 28d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.670 | $9.57 | 28d ago |