Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.52 | $0.179 | $6 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.85 |
| $0.113 |
| $1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.811 | $40.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 50.19 | $0.911 | $45.72 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.940 | $1.07 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.580 | $1.2 | Jun 19, 2025 |