Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 140.5 | $0.498 | $72.36 | +$2.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 32.79 |
| $0.610 |
| $19.18 |
| -$0.82 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $6.79 | -$3.21 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.420 | $4.17 | -$5.83 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.340 | $2.4 | -$7.6 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.750 | $1.07 | -$8.93 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.390 | $0.63 | -$4.37 |
| buy |
| 32.79 |
| $0.610 |
| $20 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 42.63 | $0.350 | $14.92 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 35.54 | $0.280 | $9.95 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?Yes | sell | 21.65 | $0.180 | $3.9 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 1?Yes | buy | 24.94 | $0.802 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?Yes | buy | 21.66 | $0.231 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Portugal" or "Portuguese" this week? (January 25)Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 132.25 | $0.999 | $132.12 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 163 | $0.010 | $1.63 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?Yes | buy | 26.03 | $0.384 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.333 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 26.39 | $0.379 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.463 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.580 | $13.18 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.750 | $11.02 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 28.09 | $0.178 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.42 | $0.312 | $7 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 73.28 | $0.136 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 29.82 | $0.335 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ETUp | buy | 5.67 | $0.529 | $3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?Up | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 57.8 | $0.173 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.420 | $11.05 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 90.75 | $0.055 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 1?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.998 | $5.04 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 1?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.570 | $9.5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.007 | $0.76 | Dec 28, 2025 |