Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 73.13 | $0.680 | $51.56 | +$1.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
| Yes |
| 53.17 |
| $0.561 |
| $31.61 |
| +$1.76 |
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 77.83 | $0.432 | $30.74 | -$2.92 |
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.55 | $0.967 | $29.02 | -$0.53 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | No | 30.95 | $0.874 | $25.84 | -$1.2 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 43.26 | $0.690 | $23.14 | -$6.71 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 44.12 | $0.434 | $20.51 | +$1.38 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 29.26 | $0.680 | $18.88 | -$1.02 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.4 | $0.366 | $17.7 | +$1.07 |
M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones | Roan Jones | 20.99 | $0.825 | $17.52 | +$0.2 |
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | No | 25.71 | $0.572 | $16.97 | +$2.27 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 48.76 | $0.364 | $16.33 | -$1.4 |
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-12? | Yes | 30.74 | $0.522 | $14.91 | -$1.15 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 15.44 | $0.923 | $14.71 | +$0.45 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 128.85 | $0.145 | $13.53 | -$5.13 |
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 34.4 | $0.276 | $10.49 | +$1 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 13.2 | $0.746 | $10.36 | +$0.51 |
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 11.04 | $0.900 | $10.33 | +$0.39 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 286.67 | $0.089 | $9.89 | -$15.55 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 12.43 | $0.800 | $9.88 | -$0.06 |
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 21.41 | $0.227 | $9.81 | +$4.95 |
M25 Plaisir + H: Sven Corbinais vs Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj | 11.89 | $0.827 | $9.69 | -$0.15 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 9.86 | $0.846 | $8.82 | +$0.48 |
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.834 | $8.61 | +$0.67 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $8.6 | +$3.6 |