Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, down 1.5 points from 32% when the market opened on 24 Sep 2026.
Across the 34 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 20% on 30 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 29.5%; a month before, 20%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 41.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
$2.79K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $713.37, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 81 trades, $324.37 bought Yes and $742.39 bought No.
The largest Yes position is WatchTheTape with 661 shares; the largest No position is PMMMR with 254. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 May 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 32.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WatchTheTape | Yes | 660.96 |
| PMMMR | No | 254 |
| maora | No | 217.01 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Frank Ilett (theunitedstrand) gets a haircut after Manchester United has won five consecutive competitive games by May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a draw or loss resets the consecutive win counter. Unbeaten streaks are not included. The haircut must occur after the fifth consecutive win has been completed. A “haircut” refers to a clearly visible and noticeable shortening to his hair, small adjustments of an inch or two will not qualify unless they are a clear result of a haircut. Taking a little snip or minor trim on stream (or in a video) also does not count. It must be a real, substantial haircut that noticeably changes his appearance from the long hair style he's maintained. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-theunitedstrand-get-a-haircut-by-2026-27-season-end
| aliaspopeye |
| No |
| 208.11 |
| Viserys | Yes | 99.2 |
| Jydyjyd | No | 79.39 |
| Taylordr | Yes | 64.23 |
| d1namiiit | No | 50 |
| MARW-2026-Piotr | No | 50 |
| Bigmeatballs | No | 35.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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