Analytics
Yes is at 12%, down 34 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 3 Jul 2026.
Across the 115 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 24 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11%; a month before, 12%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 18% on 5 Jul 2026.
It is one of 18 markets under “Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?”.
$35.01K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.86K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 262 trades, $1.09K bought Yes and $8.39K bought No; the largest was a $3.94K sell of No at 91.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Hot-SkullHomelessBegger with 745 shares; the largest No position is ArmageddonRewardsBilly with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 82.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Aug 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 115 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 1.36K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.02K |
| FrozenParasite | No | 911.76 |
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-chairman-of-the-council-of-ministers-of-bosnia-and-herzegovina-20260702191248528
6 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| Hot-SkullHomelessBegger | Yes | 745.45 |
| JesusFK | Yes | 500 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 494.93 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 368.52 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 230.3 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 180.42 |
| Silver Ledger 220B | No | 109.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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