Analytics
Yes is at 40.5%, down 24 points from 64% when the market opened on 16 Jul 2026.
Across the 102 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70% on 3 Sep 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 26 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%; a month before, 38%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 45.5% on 27 Jul 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Deepseek IPO by...?”.
$8.62K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $914.24, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 181 trades, $1.2K bought Yes and $1.76K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Contentious-Dinnerdate with 817 shares; the largest No position is mceee with 998. Ten wallets hold 78.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 16 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2026 | 64.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mceee | No | 998.31 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 816.61 |
| Admired-Sheep | Yes | 373.87 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/deepseek-ipo-byptptpt-20260714175933543
| SloviaShiba | No | 294.88 |
| Saldivva | Yes | 273.02 |
| MiaoAlpha | No | 240 |
| Brummer | No | 175 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 136.6 |
| xiaoxiao666 | Yes | 121 |
| trump669 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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