Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 482 | $0.982 | $475.01 | +$1.69 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.750 | $9.58 | 14h ago |
|
| No |
| 450 |
| $0.962 |
| $436.28 |
| +$3.38 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 364 | $0.408 | $313.04 | +$164.44 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? | No | 375.1 | $0.703 | $290.7 | +$27.18 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.810 | $255 | +$12 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 210 | $0.950 | $201.92 | +$2.42 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 204 | $0.977 | $200.43 | +$1.12 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 206 | $0.965 | $199.1 | +$0.31 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 197 | $0.760 | $178.29 | +$28.57 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 229.66 | $0.485 | $163.06 | +$51.55 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 189 | $0.790 | $161.6 | +$12.29 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? | No | 240 | $0.461 | $116.4 | +$5.68 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 116 | $0.859 | $115.59 | +$15.91 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 303 | $0.330 | $107.57 | +$7.58 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | No | 114.59 | $0.840 | $104.45 | +$8.19 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 104.01 | $0.978 | $101.57 | -$0.16 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | No | 100 | $0.993 | $99.35 | +$0.05 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 105 | $0.950 | $99.23 | -$0.53 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | No | 300 | $0.220 | $70.5 | +$4.57 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.850 | $69.2 | +$1.2 |
 Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 723.46 | $0.053 | $43.41 | +$5.14 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.140 | $40.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 29 | $0.988 | $28.72 | +$0.07 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 364 | $0.180 | $28.57 | -$37.16 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | Yes | 364 | $0.059 | $8.55 | -$13 |
| buy |
| 60.1 |
| $0.740 |
| $44.47 |
| 14h ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 263 | $0.570 | $149.91 | 5d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | sell | 51 | $0.990 | $50.49 | 5d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 103 | $0.970 | $99.91 | 5d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?No | buy | 114.59 | $0.840 | $96.26 | 5d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 104 | $0.968 | $100.67 | 5d ago |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.484 | $96.72 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.989 | $100.88 | 6d ago |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.350 | $14 | 6d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.320 | $96 | 10d ago |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by August 31?Yes | sell | 118.44 | $0.011 | $1.31 | 11d ago |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | sell | 181 | $0.999 | $180.82 | 11d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 26 | $0.985 | $25.61 | 11d ago |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 215 | $0.670 | $144.05 | 15d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 242 | $0.962 | $232.8 | 15d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | buy | 151 | $0.993 | $149.94 | 15d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 305 | $0.981 | $299.21 | 15d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 305 | $0.982 | $299.51 | 15d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | 15d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 53 | $0.950 | $50.35 | 15d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 53 | $0.962 | $50.99 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 82 | $0.965 | $79.13 | 15d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 73 | $0.963 | $70.3 | 15d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 305 | $0.982 | $299.51 | 15d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.950 | $99.75 | 15d ago |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.978 | $14.68 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 92.56 | $0.977 | $90.43 | 15d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 203 | $0.982 | $199.35 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 124 | $0.965 | $119.66 | 15d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 134 | $0.963 | $129.04 | 15d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 155 | $0.962 | $149.11 | 15d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 15.2 | $0.988 | $15.02 | 15d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 157 | $0.950 | $149.15 | 15d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | 15d ago |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 303 | $0.330 | $99.99 | 19d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 57.1 | $0.459 | $26.21 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 364 | $0.059 | $21.55 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 116 | $0.859 | $99.68 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 197 | $0.760 | $149.72 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 241 | $0.620 | $149.32 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.290 | $84.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 379.99 | $0.330 | $125.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 120 | $0.418 | $50.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.810 | $243 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | buy | 300 | $0.220 | $65.93 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 56.01 | $0.080 | $4.48 | Aug 3, 2026 |