Analytics
Yes is at 4.8%, down 2.7 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 16 Jul 2026.
Across the 103 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 18 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.4%; a month before, 2.5%.
It is one of 5 markets under “Deepseek IPO by...?”.
$6.83 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.94K since listing. The order book holds $8.29K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 176 trades, $574.57 bought Yes and $2.71K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Giving-Edible-Bat with 2.8K shares; the largest No position is Admired-Sheep with 1.8K. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 103 points, 16 Jul 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2026 | 7.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Giving-Edible-Bat | Yes | 2.76K |
| Admired-Sheep | No | 1.75K |
| BridgeLake | Yes | 1.17K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/deepseek-ipo-byptptpt-20260714175933543
| elmcap2 |
| No |
| 1K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 891.09 |
| COOLBOY | No | 743.46 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 431.81 |
| wish- | No | 150 |
| Indigo Voyager B886 | Yes | 147.78 |
| vimtodcs | No | 130.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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