Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETUp | buy | 16.56 | $0.520 | $8.61 | Apr 3, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.17 |
| $0.460 |
| $1.03 |
| +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 175.67 |
| $0.387 |
| $68.03 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 9?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.42 | $0.226 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.355 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.749 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Sam Altman in jail by June 30?Yes | buy | 30.28 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.128 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?Yes | buy | 65.24 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.889 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |