Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 66%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 112 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 18 May 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 23.5% on 2 Mar 2026. $149.6K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 9:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 112 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 18 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 45.5% |
| 18 May 2026 | 66.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jcqt | No | 7.37K |
| warptrading | No | 1.15K |
| cookiejar | No | 584.26 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdc-issues-level-3-warning-by-december-31
| No |
| 566 |
| MelissaRodgers5707 | Yes | 378 |
| Steebo | No | 170 |
| Athletic-Sender | No | 132.07 |
| 5atka | No | 120.22 |
| xiaodouzi | No | 100 |
| Visionary11 | No | 69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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