Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 193.63 | $0.480 | $138.45 | +$45.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 603 | $0.600 | $361.8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 843 |
| $0.150 |
| $63.23 |
| -$63.23 |
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.780 | $14.01 | +$2.31 |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.120 | $1.08 | +$0.6 |
Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.342 | $0.8 | -$0.91 |
Ledger IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.540 | $0.09 | -$0.46 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 54 | $0.026 | $0.03 | -$1.38 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 19 | $0.012 | $0.01 | -$0.22 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.600 |
| $9 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 57 | $0.590 | $33.63 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19)No | buy | 952 | $0.590 | $561.68 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 675 | $0.300 | $202.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No | sell | 718 | $0.870 | $624.66 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No | sell | 733 | $0.870 | $637.71 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 649 | $0.810 | $525.69 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 649 | $0.820 | $532.18 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.870 | $1.26K | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No | sell | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.110 | $0.77 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?No | buy | 499 | $0.138 | $68.86 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No | sell | 980 | $0.760 | $744.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No | buy | 980 | $0.780 | $764.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Ledger IPO before 2027?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.770 | $974.82 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 19 | $0.560 | $10.64 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 33 | $0.560 | $18.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 34 | $0.570 | $19.38 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 147 | $0.600 | $88.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Canva IPO before 2027?No | sell | 560 | $0.780 | $436.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.110 | $5.61 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 301 | $0.110 | $33.11 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 549 | $0.750 | $411.75 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 252.83 | $0.120 | $30.34 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Ledger IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.740 | $936.84 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 549 | $0.780 | $428.22 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Canva IPO before 2027?No | buy | 560.08 | $0.780 | $436.86 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.502 | $2.51 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?No | sell | 587 | $0.860 | $504.82 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?No | sell | 685 | $0.860 | $589.1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?No | sell | 687 | $0.860 | $590.82 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No | sell | 762 | $0.240 | $182.88 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.880 | $1.72K | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 338 | $0.150 | $50.7 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 457 | $0.590 | $269.63 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.590 | $609.47 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 975 | $0.530 | $516.75 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 28 | $0.530 | $14.84 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 915 | $0.670 | $613.05 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.610 | $908.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 338 | $0.150 | $50.7 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No | buy | 762 | $0.820 | $624.84 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1K | $0.540 | $541.62 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Vanta IPO before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.840 | $15.12 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 6 | $0.280 | $1.68 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No | sell | 279 | $0.700 | $195.3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | sell | 633 | $0.200 | $126.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |