Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 200 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 3 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 50.3% on 6 Jan 2026. $190.88K traded over the market's life.
157 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 200 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 3 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dumb-trader67 | Yes | 5.12K |
| ap24fl | Yes | 4.58K |
| Kurdhish-Hewal | Yes | 2.77K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
| Uncomfortable-Fundraising | Yes | 611.06 |
| JimboTrade | Yes | 504.2 |
| Klookkidsd | Yes | 355.67 |
| Tomas86 | Yes | 347.98 |
| Bright Vector 2089 | Yes | 309.1 |
| Crimson Signal 5562 | Yes | 243.21 |
| AlwaysRegressing | Yes | 210.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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