Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 12:26 PM UTC.
Analytics
Jade Beacon 3929 is down $139.98 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 12:26 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 382 markets; 95.8% were buys. They run from Jul 16, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 55.95 | $0.447 | $26.86 | +$1.86 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 5h ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 10:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 12:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 12:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 05:41 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $35.24 and losing ones cost $49.2 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $10.07 on “Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20.53 on “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?” (Yes).
It first traded on 20 Sep 2025 and most recently on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 835 markets. Its open positions are worth $42.6 across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 287.47 |
| $0.043 |
| $3.16 |
| -$9.29 |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | No | 5 | $0.280 | $3.1 | +$1.7 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20? | Down | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
 Macron out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1.4 | +$0.4 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | $0 |
 France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.29 | $0.033 | $1 | -$0 |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 French election called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 53.31 | $0.063 | $0.45 | -$2.91 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $0.25 | -$4.75 |
 Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | Yes | 4.56 | $0.658 | $0.07 | -$2.93 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1.01 | $0.086 | $0.02 | -$0.07 |
| buy |
| 1.82 |
| $0.550 |
| $1 |
| 6h ago |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | 6h ago |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 6h ago |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.033 | $1 | 6h ago |
| French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | 6h ago |
| Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | 2d ago |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.999 | $6.65 | 3d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.996 | $1.12 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 5d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 14?Up | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 6d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 13?Down | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 9d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?Down | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 11d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 8?Down | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.981 | $1.06 | 13d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?Down | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 13d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?Down | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 15d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?Down | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 18d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?Down | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.758 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 20d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 30?Up | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 20d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 29?Down | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.999 | $4.05 | 21d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 23d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25?Down | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 26d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 24?Down | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 26d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 23?Down | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 27d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 22?Up | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.738 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.744 | $1 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.