Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes | sell | 101.8 | $0.007 | $0.76 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 60.6 |
| $0.022 |
| $1.33 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.008 | $1.14 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.002 | $1.33 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.030 | $1.29 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.050 | $1.67 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.005 | $1.67 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 95.23 | $0.019 | $1.81 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.440 | $1.91 | May 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.018 | $1.89 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.230 | $1.92 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.780 | $1.95 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.87 | $0.682 | $1.96 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.540 | $1.96 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.730 | $1.97 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.940 | $1.97 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.751 | $1.99 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.720 | $1.99 | May 20, 2026 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.647 | $2.62 | May 20, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.550 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 199.96 | $0.010 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?No | sell | 181.81 | $0.007 | $1.27 | May 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 49.18 | $0.053 | $2.61 | May 20, 2026 |
 Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas EtcheverryTommy Paul | sell | 5.35 | $0.520 | $2.78 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 136.36 | $0.020 | $2.73 | May 20, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.750 | $2.88 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 3.2 | $0.934 | $2.99 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.580 | $2.95 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 4 | $0.740 | $2.96 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 4 | $0.740 | $2.96 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.800 | $2.96 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.900 | $2.96 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 16.04 | $0.186 | $2.98 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.28 | $0.361 | $2.99 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.819 | $2.99 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 3.68 | $0.813 | $2.99 | May 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.956 | $2.99 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | sell | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | May 20, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.942 | $3 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.14 | $0.585 | $3.01 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.900 | $3.1 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 3.89 | $0.790 | $3.07 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 4.16 | $0.770 | $3.2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.55 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.510 | $2.94 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 8.21 | $0.603 | $4.95 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.26 | $0.890 | $18.92 | May 20, 2026 |