Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 8.5 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 22 Jan 2026.
Across the 249 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%.
<1.0% ranks ninth of the 10 outcomes in “China Annual GDP Growth 2026”. 4.0–5.0% leads at 96.3%; 5.0–6.0% is at 2.3%.
$68.21K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $8.41K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $61.02 bought Yes and $18.67K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Honored-Neonate with 6.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 35.2K. Ten wallets hold 85.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Jan 2027, 95 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 249 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 8.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35.22K |
| Honored-Neonate | Yes | 6.86K |
| Rapid Kestrel 977F | Yes | 4.79K |
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/china-annual-gdp-growth-2026
| brickzflip | Yes | 2.84K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.55K |
| Lashibucapiguyonghand | Yes | 2.52K |
| donthackme | Yes | 2.11K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.45K |
| MAJOCABALLOLOCO | Yes | 1.31K |
| Bustling-Cartoon | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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