Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.014 | $14.72 | +$0.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 1?No | buy | 9.88 | $0.240 | $2.37 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 678.3 |
| $0.013 |
| $9.84 |
| +$1.33 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.55K | $0.005 | $6.38 | -$7.79 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | Yes | 4.26K | $0.002 | $6.38 | -$2.12 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10.06 | $0.510 | $5.08 | -$0.05 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 14 | $0.360 | $4.97 | -$0.07 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.36 | $0.440 | $4.72 | +$0.16 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.850 | $4.63 | +$0.38 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? | Yes | 2.84K | $0.001 | $4.26 | +$1.42 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.8K | $0.003 | $4.19 | -$4.31 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 858.75 | $0.008 | $3.86 | -$3.01 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 568.21 | $0.035 | $3.41 | -$16.44 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | Yes | 854.7 | $0.003 | $2.99 | +$0.15 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.540 | $2.68 | -$0.03 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 11.58 | $0.120 | $1.68 | +$0.29 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | Yes | 961.8 | $0.003 | $1.44 | -$1.4 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%? | Yes | 2.8K | $0.001 | $1.4 | -$1.44 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 8.48 | $0.151 | $1.24 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 388.75 |
| $0.008 |
| $3.11 |
| 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.440 | $2.29 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.440 | $2.27 | 8d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 8d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 470 | $0.008 | $3.76 | 8d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 5K | $0.010 | $50 | 9d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.42 | $0.060 | $3.45 | 9d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 179.53 | $0.025 | $4.41 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 3.62K | $0.001 | $4.62 | 9d ago |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.78K | $0.004 | $11.75 | 9d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.02K | $0.007 | $32.67 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.953 | $5.12 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.948 | $5.11 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 31?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.530 | $3.03 | 9d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.02K | $0.008 | $42.54 | 10d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Yes | buy | 4.26K | $0.002 | $8.51 | 10d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?Yes | buy | 2.84K | $0.001 | $2.84 | 10d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Yes | buy | 678.3 | $0.013 | $8.51 | 10d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 961.8 | $0.003 | $2.84 | 10d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.014 | $14.18 | 10d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes | buy | 854.7 | $0.003 | $2.84 | 10d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.001 | $2.84 | 10d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.010 | $28.36 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.003 | $8.51 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 568.21 | $0.035 | $19.85 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.006 | $14.18 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.62K | $0.002 | $8.51 | 10d ago |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | buy | 8.48 | $0.151 | $1.28 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 10d ago |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.120 | $1.39 | 10d ago |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 156.4 | $0.020 | $3.11 | 10d ago |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 138.57 | $0.021 | $2.94 | 10d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 14 | $0.360 | $5.04 | 10d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10.06 | $0.510 | $5.13 | 10d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.43 | $0.070 | $4.02 | 10d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 179.53 | $0.043 | $7.66 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.610 | $5.45 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 30?No | buy | 9.44 | $0.410 | $3.87 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 30?No | buy | 9.53 | $0.979 | $9.33 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 30?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.981 | $5.1 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 30?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.390 | $2.13 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 29?No | sell | 8.38 | $0.005 | $0.04 | 11d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 29?No | buy | 8.38 | $0.130 | $1.09 | 11d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.910 | $4.58 | 11d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 30?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.984 | $5.13 | 11d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 11d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 11d ago |