Analytics
Yes is at 99.6%, up 64 points from 36% when the market opened on 10 Dec 2025.
Across the 282 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (42 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 1 Jan 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 99.2%; a month before, 96.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 67.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
Mercedes is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “F1 Constructors' Champion”, ahead of Ferrari at 0.4%.
$24.51 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.36M since listing. The order book holds $85.4K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.27K bought Yes and $207.2 bought No; the largest was a $3.61K sell of Yes at 98.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Big-Filly with 133.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 265.4K. Ten wallets hold 85.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 282 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 36.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 99.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 265.44K |
| Big-Filly | Yes | 133.43K |
| Patek141 | Yes | 97.71K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-constructors-champion
| Nibiru2 |
| No |
| 68.17K |
| Ketabi | Yes | 55.77K |
| 08AF | Yes | 18.74K |
| Muddy-Noodles | Yes | 12.21K |
| Known-Icing | No | 11.38K |
| TradingWave | No | 10.78K |
| celery-cactus | Yes | 6.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
