Analytics
chefradish is down $10.7K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | No | 344.91 | $0.580 | $288 | +$88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 23:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 08:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 08:18 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 23:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $31.65K and losing ones cost $39.53K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.03K on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?” (Yes); the largest loss, $14.22K on “Solana above $145 on August 30?” (Yes).
It has traded 925 markets. Its open positions are worth $952.58 across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 53.1K |
| $0.008 |
| $132.74 |
| -$277.3 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | No | 257.47 | $0.342 | $130.02 | +$41.97 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 170.11 | $0.760 | $89.31 | -$39.97 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 51.06 | $0.959 | $49.3 | +$0.35 |
 Will Tanner Scott win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? | No | 37.51 | $0.986 | $37.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 25.8 | $0.473 | $24.76 | +$12.54 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 267.86 | $0.075 | $22.77 | +$2.77 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 797.2 | $0.036 | $20.33 | -$8.71 |
 Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader? | No | 19.23 | $0.988 | $19.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 36.79K | $0.003 | $18.4 | -$94.14 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West? | Yes | 78.13 | $0.320 | $18.36 | -$6.64 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.480 | $18.12 | -$1.88 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 153.77 | $0.624 | $16.91 | -$79.09 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.3 | $0.820 | $16.74 | +$1.74 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 893.04 | $0.028 | $13.84 | -$11.16 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 72.32 | $0.553 | $13.02 | -$26.98 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 96.32 | $0.176 | $6.16 | -$10.84 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | Yes | 5.57 | $0.539 | $4.93 | +$1.93 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 250 | $0.080 | $4.38 | -$15.63 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.130 | $3.77 | -$16.23 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 2.53K | $0.008 | $2.53 | -$16.88 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 43.74 | $0.229 | $1.88 | -$8.12 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
