Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 8.92 | $0.830 | $7.4 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 24.39 |
| $0.820 |
| $20 |
| Jun 7, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 61.49 | $0.650 | $39.97 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | May 25, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 79.97 | $0.788 | $63.02 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 117.53 | $0.570 | $66.99 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 63.02 | $0.540 | $34.03 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.565 | $12.43 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | buy | 14.03 | $0.880 | $12.35 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?No | buy | 12.43 | $0.650 | $8.08 | Jul 28, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.960 | $2.96 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Biden seen in public Wednesday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 145 | $0.144 | $20.88 | Jul 22, 2024 |