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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 459.67 | $0.855 | $429.79 | +$36.79 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.019 | $0.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 227.73 |
| $0.878 |
| $217.93 |
| +$17.94 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 229.95 | $0.870 | $211.55 | +$11.55 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $110.4 | +$10.4 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 111.11 | $0.900 | $109.17 | +$9.17 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 111.11 | $0.900 | $105 | +$5 |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.110 | $16.6 | -$5.4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 14.08 | $0.710 | $12.32 | +$2.32 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.720 | $6.74 | -$3.26 |
| buy |
| 224.72 |
| $0.890 |
| $200 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.880 | $2.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 232.99 | $0.858 | $200 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 118.73 | $0.842 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.780 | $5.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 113.53 | $0.881 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.860 | $94.51 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 227.73 | $0.878 | $200 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 103.41 | $0.967 | $100 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | buy | 229.95 | $0.870 | $200 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 234.13 | $0.854 | $200 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.68 | $0.936 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.135 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 46.39 | $0.108 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 75.18 | $0.133 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 82.9 | $0.121 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |